UPDATED 11/3/10, 8:14 a.m.

The 2010 election was historic after all.

Voters, given the opportunity to choose the state’s next governor from two popular, widely-known candidates, instead chose to stay home in numbers not seen in Hawaii in decades.

Of more than 690,000 registered voters, just 385,000 cast a ballot as of the fourth printout, which included all 242 polling places and nearly all absentee votes. It was released at a few minutes after 6 a.m. Wednesday morning.

The turnout percent of 55.7 percent is not only lower than 2008, when 66 percent of voters participated as Hawaii-born Barack Obama was elected president, but also lower than the almost every election in the last 18 years, the period available on the state’s website. The low-water mark was 52.7 percent turnout in 2006.

Statewide General Election Turnout

Year Registered Turnout Pct
2010 690,748 385,034 55.7%
2008 691,356 456,064 66.0%
2006 662,728 348,988 52.7%
2004 647,238 431,662 66.7%
2002 676,242 385,462 57.0%
2000 637,349 371,033 58.2%
1998 601,404 412,520 68.6%
1996 544,916 370,230 67.9%
1994 488,889 377,011 77.1%
1992 464,495 382,882 82.4%
Average 610,537 392,089 65.2%

Source: Hawaii Office of Elections records

Those numbers measure the turnout as a function of registered voters, but there are hundreds of thousands of others who are eligible to vote but don’t even register.

For the 2010 general election, 690,748 Hawaii citizens registered to vote — that’s actually 600 less than were registered two years ago. The 2009 American Community Survey estimates that Hawaii’s resident population of 1.3 million includes about 1 million people 18 years and over — though a small number of those might not be eligible to vote due to citizenship status or criminal history.

The voting-age population has grown steadily over the last decade, as has the number of registered voters, even as turnout has stayed level and even decreased.

Turnout by Population

Year 18+ Population Turnout Pct
2010 1,004,822 385,034 38.3%
2008 1,003,594 456,064 45.4%
2006 988,265 348,988 35.3%
2004 929,909 431,662 46.4%
2002 915,388 385,462 42.1%
2000 915,770 371,033 40.5%
Average 959,625 392,089 41.4%

Source: Hawaii Office of Elections and U.S. Census Bureau records

In Honolulu, the turnout rate was noticeably higher than the neighbor islands as a whole, possibly because the 1st Congressional District race between Colleen Hanabusa and Charles Djou drew more attention, and more voters, than the 2nd Congressional District race between Mazie Hirono and John Willoughby.

County-by-county reports show that 57.2 percent of registered Oahu [pdf] voters participated, as of the third printout. By comparison, the turnouts were 57.3 percent in Kauai County [pdf], 53.3 percent in Hawaii County [pdf] and 49.7 percent in Maui County [pdf].

In the seven previous general elections, City and County of Honolulu voters turned out at a clip nearly identical to their neighbor island counterparts, always within 3 percentage points. Prior to 2010, the largest gap came in 2004, when Mufi Hannemann edged the late Duke Bainum in the race for Honolulu mayor, 49.3 percent to 48.8 percent.

Honolulu Turnout Vs. Neighbor Islands

Year Registered Turnout Pct Neighbor Pct
2010 464,387 265,760 57.2% 52.7%
2008 466,499 308,443 66.1% 65.7%
2006 452,168 239,753 53.0% 51.9%
2004 445,253 300,265 67.4% 65.1%
2002 470,327 270,071 57.4% 56.0%
2000 444,945 257,840 57.9% 58.8%
1998 423,875 291,114 68.7% 68.4%
1996 386,546 261,781 67.7% 68.5%
Average 444,250 274,378 61.9% 60.9%

Source: Hawaii Office of Elections records

The percentage of voters taking advantage of early and absentee voting opportunities has climbed every year. This year, with early walk-in voting open from Oct. 19 until Saturday, more than 163,000 voters avoided waiting in lines on Election Day — though not all are represented in Tuesday night’s final printout.

They represented about 42 percent of all votes cast, eclipsing the record 38.5 percent set in the 2008 general election, though more total absentee ballots were cast in 2008 than in 2010.

Absentee Ballots as Percentage of Turnout

Year General Pct Primary Pct
2010 163,276 42.4% 129,824 44.3%
2008 175,526 38.5% 95,042 38.6%
2006 118,823 34.1% 102,349 37.0%
2004 133,782 31.0% 79,276 31.9%
2002 110,049 28.6% 69,544 25.3%
2000 73,070 19.7% 49,192 19.6%
1998 70,345 17.1% 46,982 16.1%
1996 56,532 15.3% 37,695 13.7%
1994 53,843 14.3% 38,863 12.6%
1992 40,539 10.6% 23,134 9.2%
Average 99,579 25.1% 67,206 24.8%

Source: Hawaii Office of Elections records

Check back with Civil Beat this week for a detailed analysis of how absentee and early voting affected the election.


DISCUSSION: *If you voted in Tuesday’s election, what motivated you to head to the polls? If not, why not? Join the conversation.

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