Silver found a “pattern of too-optimistic forecasts” stretching back a decade, well before the U.S. recession began. According to Silver’s numbers, 89 jobs forecasts have been too optimistic since 2000, whereas 51 have been too pessimistic. 

Read the full story, complete with helpful graphs.

The post got us to thinking about some of the jobs forecasting that takes place in Hawaii. 

For example, Civil Beat recently examined jobs predictions related to the proposed rail line in Honolulu. Read what we found about rail opponents’ claims that the city has exaggerated the extent to which rail will create jobs.