Predictions for Hawaii’s 2014 Elections from National Analysts
A sense of how things might go Nov. 4 for races for governor, the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. It doesn’t look good for the GOP.
Early voting has begun and the general election is just under two weeks away. Who will win the big races in Hawaii — for governor, the U.S. Senate, the 1st Congressional District and the 2nd Congressional District, according to the national experts?
In short, Democrat David Ige has the edge over Republican Duke Aiona for governor, as does Democrat Mark Takai over Republican Charles Djou in the CD1 contest.
Democrats Brian Schatz and Tulsi Gabbard, meanwhile, need not fear Republicans Cam Cavasso and Kawika Crowley in their Senate and CD2 races, respectively.
Here’s the current rundown:
- Governor: toss-up
- Senate: solid Democrat
- CD1: likely Democrat
- CD2: solid Democrat
The Rothenberg Political Report
- Governor: leans Democrat
- Senate: safe Democrat
- CD1: Democrat favored
- CD2: safe Democrat
- Governor: leans Democrat
- Senate: safe Democrat
- CD1: likely Democrat
- CD2: safe Democrat
- Governor: leans Democrat
- Senate: safe Democrat
- CD1: likely Democrat
- CD2: safe Democrat
- Governor: toss-up
- Senate: safe Democrat
- CD1: leans Democrat
I could not tell what Real Clear Politics’ rating was for CD2, but it appears that it’s “likely Democrat.”
Another source, The Economist, recently rated the U.S. Senate races but says Hawaii has no Senate race this year because ours is technically a “special” election — in this case, to complete the final two years of the six-year term of the late Dan Inouye.
Screen shot.
The Economist
